بررسی اثر نااطمینانی متغیرهای کلان اقتصادی بر رفتار مصرفی خانوارهای ایرانی

 Abdi Seyyedkolaee, M. & Firoozbakhsh, S. (2023). Investigating the Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in its Effectiveness on Production and Inflation in Iran. Applied Theories of Economics, 10(1), 165-190. doi: 10.22034/ecoj.2023.51960.3063 [in Persian]

Ahmadi Shadmehri, M. T. , Ebrahimi Salari, T. , Shabani Koshalshahi, Z. and Ajori Ayask, A. A. (2023). Consumer Behavior Response to Macroeconomic Uncertainty (Case study: OPEC Countries(. Quarterly Journal of Quantitative Economics (JQE), 20(1), 74-98. doi: 10.22055/jqe.2021.36248.2324[in Persian]

Al-Maalwi, R. M., Ashi, H. A., & Al-sheikh, S. (2018). Unemployment model. Applied Mathematical Sciences, 12(21), 989-1006.‏  https://doi.org/10.12988/ams.2018.87102

Altig, D., Baker, S., Barrero, J. M., Bloom, N., Bunn, P., Chen, S., et al. (2020). Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Public Economics, 191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104274

Arellano, C., Bai, Y., & Kehoe, P. (2010). Financial markets and fluctuations in uncertainty. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Working Paper. https://doi.org/10.1086/701792

Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The review of economic studies, 58(2), 277-297.‏ https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968

Ashrafzadeh, H. R., & Mehrgan, N. (2008). Econometrics of panel data . Tehran: Research Institute for Cooperative Studies, University of Tehran. ISBN 978-964-2728-30-5 https://lib.ut.ac.ir/site/catalogue/1626208# [in Persian]

Bakhtiari, S. (2005). Macroeconomics. Isfahan, Iran: University of Isfahan Press. ISBN 978-964-8658-20-0. https://library.ashrafi.ac.ir/opac/index.php?lvl=record_display&id=5865. [in Persian]

Baltagi, B. H. (2005). Econometric analysis of panel data. Third edition. John Wiley & Sons Ltd. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-53953-5

Barro, R. J., & Lee, J. W. (1994, June). Sources of economic growth. In Carnegie-Rochester conference series on public policy (Vol. 40, pp. 1-46). North-Holland. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-2231(94)90002-7

Been, J., Bakker, V., & van Vliet, O. (2024). Unemployment and households' food consumption: A cross‐country panel data analysis across OECD countries. Kyklos, 77(3), 776-811.‏ https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12386

Bernanke, B. S. (1983). Irreversibility, uncertainty, and cyclical investment. The quarterly journal of economics, 98(1), 85-106.‏ https://doi.org/10.2307/1885568

Blanchard, O., & Simon, J. (2001). The long and large decline in US output volatility. Brookings papers on economic activity, 2001(1), 135-174.‏ https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.277356

Bond, S. (2002). Dynamic Panel Data Models: A Guide to Micro Data Methods and Practice. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10258-002-0009-9?urlappend=%3Futm_source%3Dresearchgate.net%26utm_medium%3Darticle

Campbell, J. Y., & Mankiw, N. G. (1989). Consumption, income, and interest rates: Reinterpreting the time series evidence. NBER macroeconomics annual, 4, 185-216. https://doi.org/10.1086/654107

Christiano, L. J., Motto, R., Rostagno, M. (2014). Risk shocks. American Economic Review, 104(1):27–65. DOI: 10.1257/aer.104.1.27

Dahmarde, N. (2011). Unemployment and Inflation. Mashhad:   Marandiz Publishers.[in Persian]

Eberly, J. C. (1994). Adjustment of consumers’ durables stocks: evidence from automobile purchases. J Polit Econ, 102(3):403–436. https://doi.org/10.1086/261940

Eisazadeh Roshan, Y. , Aghaiee, M. and Ghasemi, S. (2020). Role of Information and Communication Technology in the Effect of Financial Intermediaries on Economic Growth in Iranian Provinces: Generalized Method of Moments. Economics Research, 20(78), 137-175. doi: 10.22054/joer.2020.12363 [in Persian]

Firmin, S. B. (2010). Terms of Trade Volatility and Precautionary Savings in Developing Economies; In DEGIT Conference Papers c015_013, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade, Chicago. http://degit.sam.sdu.dk/papers/degit_15/c015_013.pdf

Friedman, M. (1953). Essays in positive economics. University of Chicago Press. Chicago & Landan.

Gorji, E. (2000). Macroeconomics: Theories and economic policy-making. Tehran, Iran: Institute for Trade Studies & Research. ISBN 978-964-5303-42-4 https://lib.ut.ac.ir/faces/search/bibliographic/biblioFullView.jspx?_afPfm=7d876c5xb.[in Persian]

Green, P. J. (2003). Trans-dimensional markov chain monte carlo. Oxford Statistical Science Series, 179-198. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198510550.003.0017

Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (2008). Basic econometrics (5th ed.). Boston, MA, USA: McGraw-Hill Education. ISBN 0073375772 / 9780073375779. https://openlibrary.org/books/OL28213325M/Basic_Econometrics[in Persian]

Hayakawa, K,. (2014).The Asymptotic Properties of the System GMM Estimator in Dynamic Panel Data Models When Both N and T are Large.  Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1412035 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1412035

Kimball, M. S. (1990). Precautionary saving in the small and in the large. Econometrica, 58(1):53–73. https://doi.org/10.2307/2938334

Kodaverdizadeh, S., Rezazadeh, A., and Mirzaei, S.(2017). The Relationship between Inflation Uncertainty and Inflation, Economic Growth and Investment in Selected Countries of the OIC: GMM and PMG Approaches. Quarterly Journal of the Macro and Strategic Policies, 5(Vol. 5, NO 19), 100-120. [in Persian]

Kohlscheen, E. (2022). Understanding the food component of inflation. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2212.09380

Lee, J. (2010). The link between output growth and volatility: Evidence from a GARCH model with panel data. Economics Letters, 106(2), 143-145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2009.11.008

Momeni, S.M. & Nofaresti M. (2022). Economic uncertainty and its impact on private sector consumption and investment spending in the Iranian economy. Quarterly Journal of Monetary and Banking Research, 14(50), 719-745. https://dor.isc.ac/dor/20.1001.1.26453355.1400.14.50.6.6 [in Persian]

Mankiw, N. G. (2025). Macroeconomics (12th ed.). New York, NY, USA: Worth Publishers/Macmillan Learning. ISBN 9781319473471. https://studylib.net/doc/25949333/n.-gregory-mankiw-macroeconomics-macmillan-higher-educati

Murray, J. (2014). Fiscal Policy Uncertainty and Its Macroeconomic Consequences; Munich Personal RePEc Archive. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/57409/1/MPRA_paper_57409.pdf

Nam, E., Lee, K., & Jeon, Y. (2021). Macroeconomic uncertainty shocks and households’ consumption choice. Journal of Macroeconomics, 68, 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2021.103306

Parker, J. (2010). Economics 314 Coursebook. Viewed on January, 15, 2013.

Pratap, B., & Priyaranjan, N. (2023). Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty: a Google trends-based analysis for India. Empirical Economics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-023-02392-z

Rahmani, T. (2003). Macroeconomics. Tehran, Iran: Baradaran Publishers. ISBN 964-91967-4-9.

https://telketab.com/book/%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF-%DA%A9%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%AC%D9%84%D8%AF-2.[in Persian]

Rezagholizadeh, M. , Mohseni Maleki, B. and Khazaey kuhpar, H. (2022). The Impact of Oil Price Uncertainty on Corporate Cash Holdings: Evidence from Iran. Economics Research, 22(87), 157-192. doi: 10.22054/joer.2023.68086.1066.[in Persian]

Sadeghi, S.K., Ghamari, N. and Feshari, M. (2014). Investigating the causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP in MENA countries (Generalized Moment Approach in Panel Data). Macroeconomics Research Letter, 9(17), 5-5.[in Persian]

safamanesh, H. , Keshavarz Haddad, G. , Piraee, K. and Zare, H. (2019). Estimation of Quality Elasticity for Different Types of Meat in Food Basket of Iranian Households. Economics Research, 19(73), 47-74. doi: 10.22054/joer.2019.10763.[in Persian]

Shakeri, A. (2010). Macroeconomics: Theories and policies. Tehran: Rāfeʿ Publishers. ISBN 978-964-6378-29-2. https://www.lib.ir/fa/book/79964223/%D9%86%D8%B8%D8%B1%DB%8C%D9%87%D9%87%D8%A7-%D9%88-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA%D9%87%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF-%DA%A9%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%86 [in Persian]

Sharif, M. (2008). Macroeconomics . Tehran, Iran: Ettelaat Publishing. [in Persian]

Souri,  A,, Ebrahimi, M. and Salarian, M.(2011). Uncertainty in Government Consumption Expenditures and Economic Growth. Macroeconomics Research Letter, 6(11), 107-124. [in Persian]

Su, F., Liu, Y., Chen, S. J., & Fahad, S. (2023). Towards the impact of economic policy uncertainty on food security: Introducing a comprehensive heterogeneous framework for assessment. Journal of Cleaner Production, 386, 135792.‏ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.135792

Tafazoli, F. (2005). Macroeconomics: Theories and economic policies . Tehran, Iran: Nashr-e Ney. ISBN 978-964-312-459-5. https://nashreney.com/product/%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF-%DA%A9%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%86-2.[in Persian]

Wu, W., & Zhao, J. (2022). Economic policy uncertainty and household consumption: Evidence from Chinese households. Journal of Asian Economics, 79, 101436. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2021.101436

Yin, Y., Qamruzzaman, M., Xiao, H., Mehta, A. M., Naqvi, F., Baig, I. A. (2022). Nexus between uncertainty, remittances, and household’s consumption: Evidence from dynamic SUR application. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10, 1-14. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.950067

Zaki, N., Meskinyar, Mohammad S., Shaker, A. and Ansari, S. M. M. (2019). Studying the Effect of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Iranian Household Consumption (1988-2017), Second International Conference on Innovation in Business Management and Economics. Tehran. https://civilica.com/doc/1033163 .[in Persian]

Zarei, Z. , ebrahim, I.& hematy, M. (2019). The Effects of Government Current and Development Expenditures on Private SectorConsumption Expenditures in Business Cycles. Quarterly Journal of Quantitative Economics (JQE), 16(3), 1-31. doi: 10.22055/jqe.2019.19694.1495.[in Persian]