Corrosion Rate Prediction with artificial Neural Network Case: Crude Oil Distillation Overhead Systems | ||
| مطالعات مدیریت صنعتی | ||
| Article 3, Volume 4, Issue 13, June 2006, Pages 41-66 PDF (3.95 M) | ||
| Document Type: Research Paper | ||
| Authors | ||
| Mahmood Alborzi; Seyed Amir Reza Abtahi | ||
| Abstract | ||
| This paper uses neural network to predict corrosion rate. Corrosion can not modeled easily, because of wide range of causes either known or unknown. In mechanistic approach, physical, chemical and electrochemical reactions and processes are considered to model and predict. But as stated before this models are not practically successful in prediction because of unknown parameters. This paper uses genetic optimized neural network to predict corrosion rate. Among different neural networks, multi layer neural network with gradient descent learning algorithm has been selected. After developing the network, learning process has been done, using an oil refinery'S data. Then evaluation and test have been performed. After preparing the network Garson's algorithm and sensitivity analysis have been used for knowledge extraction. According to results, neural network approach can predict corrosion rate with acceptable correlation coefficient (R) and mean squared error (MSE). Sensitivity analysis depicts the strength of each oil parameter influence on corrosion rate. Among these results, salt and sulphur are the most affecting parameters in corrosion rate. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Prediction; Neural Network; Sensitivity Analysis; Knowledge extraction; Garson's Algorithm; Corrosion; Crude oil distillation overhead Systems | ||
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