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گذار در سیستمهای بین المللی پیچیده – آشوبی: ایران | ||
| پژوهش های راهبردی سیاست | ||
| مقاله 6، دوره 7، شماره 24 - شماره پیاپی 54، خرداد 1397، صفحه 157-190 اصل مقاله (795.81 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22054/qpss.2018.18582.1524 | ||
| نویسنده | ||
| فرهاد قاسمی* | ||
| دانشگاه تهران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| تکامل سیستمهای بینالملل خطی- سنتی و شکلگیری سیستمهای پیچیده و آشوبی، الگوی گذار قدرت سنتی را تغییر داده است و این تغییر در گذار سیستمی نیاز به دستگاه تحلیلی نوینی در قالب نظریه پیچیدگی و آشوب دارد که ادبیات موجود در روابط بینالملل به آن نپرداختهاند. از سوی دیگر ایران نیز از جمله کشورهای است که به دلیل کانونیت در نظمهای منطقهای و پویشهای درونی، تحت تأثیر مستقیم الگوهای گذار قرار دارد. به همین سبب این پژوهش بر محوریت این پرسش اساسی شکل گرفته است که گذار در سیستم بینالمللی پیچیده و آشوبی و ایران به عنوان یک مورد چگونه تبیین میشود ؟ در پاسخ به پرسش پژوهش، نویسنده بر این باور است که گذار، پیوند مستقیمی با ویژگیهای پیچیدگی، از جمله شاخهای شدن نظم دارد و دراین راستا گذار شاخهای را ویژگی اصلی گذار در چنین سیستمهایی میداند و مدل گذار شاخهای را به عنوان مفهوم تحلیلی نوین، به ادبیات روابط بینالملل پیشنهاد میدهد. روش این پژوهش با بهرهگیری از رئالیسم انتقادی مبتنی بر استنتاج و ترکیب است و بر این اساس ابتدا قواعد سیستمهای پیچیده-آشوبی استخراج و با ترکیب آنها، مدل گذار شاخهای ارائه میشود. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| پیچیدگی؛ سیستمهای بین المللی پیچیده-آشوبی؛ گذار قدرت؛ گذار شاخه ای؛ ایران | ||
| مراجع | ||
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