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ماندگاری شوکها بر تخریب محیط زیست در کشورهای صادرکنندة نفت: دلالتهایی برای سیاستگذاری زیستمحیطی | ||
پژوهشنامه اقتصاد انرژی ایران | ||
دوره 10، شماره 39، تیر 1400، صفحه 127-158 اصل مقاله (1.23 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22054/jiee.2022.66047.1889 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
آرین دانشمند ![]() ![]() ![]() | ||
1استادیار، گروه اقتصادسیاسی و سیاستگذاری عمومی، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران | ||
2کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد محیط زیست، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
شناسایی آثار دائمی یا موقتی شوکهای وارد بر محیط زیست یکی از ملاحظات مهم در بحث سیاستگذاری است. هدف این پژوهش بررسی ماندگاری شوکها بر تخریب محیطزیست در 33 کشور صادرکنندة نفت با استفاده از آزمون ریشه واحد پانل است. برای این منظور از آزمون پانل بهمنی اسکویی و همکاران (2014) با شکستهای تیز و هموار و آزمون مانایی تک متغیره پانل کاریون سیلوستر و همکاران (2005) با شکستهای تیز و هموار برای دورة زمانی 2017-1961 استفاده شد. نتایج پژوهش نشان داد که شوکهای وارد بر ردپای بومشناختی به عنوان شاخص تخریب محیط زیست در کشورهای منتخب صادرکنندة نفت آثار موقتی دارند. به عبارت دیگر، ردپای بومشناختی تحت دو فرض واریانس بلندمدت همگن و واریانس بلندمدت ناهمگن رفتار بازگشت به میانگین دارد. نتایج آزمون تک متغیره نیز نشان داد مانایی ردپای بومشناختی در سطح معنیداری 10 درصد برای همة کشورهای صادرکنندة نفت به جز کشورهای کانادا، جمهوری کنگو، مصر، ایران و اندونزی تأیید میشود. درنتیجه سیاستهای مربوط به کاهش اندازه ردپای بومشناختی در بلندمدت در کشورهای کانادا، جمهوری کنگو، مصر، ایران و اندونزی تأثیر دائمی خواهند داشت، به عبارت دیگر، مداخلة دولت در جهت وضع سیاستهایی که منجر به کاهش ردپای بومشناختی میشوند، مؤثر خواهد بود. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
شوکهای دائمی و موقتی؛ ردپای بومشناختی؛ آزمون ریشه واحد پانل؛ کشورهای صادرکنندة نفت | ||
مراجع | ||
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