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بررسی تأثیر ریسکهای اقتصادی، مالی و سیاسی بر شاخص آسیبپذیری نفرین منابع در کشورهای منطقه منا | ||
پژوهشنامه اقتصاد انرژی ایران | ||
دوره 11، شماره 41، بهمن 1400، صفحه 163-217 اصل مقاله (1.55 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22054/jiee.2022.67575.1905 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
دانیال فربد![]() ![]() ![]() | ||
1کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد انرژی، دانشکده علوم اداری و اقتصادی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران | ||
2استاد گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده علوم اداری و اقتصادی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران | ||
3دانشیارگروه اقتصاد، دانشکده علوم اداری و اقتصادی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
امروزه ریسکهای متعددی ازجمله ریسکهای اقتصادی، مالی و سیاسی اقتصاد کشورها را تهدید میکند. کشورها در مقابل تلاش میکنند پیامدهای منفی ناشی از آن را مدیریت کرده و تأثیر آن در اقتصاد خنثی یا حداقل شود. بررسی وضعیت کشورها نشان میدهد که بیشتر کشورهای توسعهنیافته و در حال توسعه و بهخصوص کشورهایی که غنی از منابع طبیعی (رانت منابع) هستند به علت وابستگی بالا به درآمدهای نفتی، شدیداً تحت تأثیر این شوکهای داخلی و خارجی (نفرین منابع) قرار گرفتهاند؛ اما در مقابل کشورهای توسعهیافته با بهکارگیری سیاستهای مناسب آسیب کمتری را متحمل شدهاند. هدف این پژوهش ساخت و معرفی شاخص ترکیبی آسیبپذیری نفرین منابع و سپس بررسی تأثیر هریک از ریسکهای اقتصادی، مالی و سیاسی بر شاخص آسیبپذیری نفرین منابع است. لذا با استفاده از جدیدترین دادههای موجود، رویکرد اقتصادسنجی دادههای تابلویی برای 14 کشورهای منتخب منطقه منا (خاورمیانه و شمال آفریقا) طی سالهای 2005 الی 2018 انجام شد. آنچه در نتایج برآورد مشاهده شد حاکی از وجود رابطة معکوس و معنیدار بین متغیرهای ریسکی بر متغیر وابسته (شاخص آسیبپذیری نفرین منابع) بوده که در جهت تأیید فرضیههای تحقیق است. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
ریسکهای اقتصادی؛ مالی و سیاسی؛ شاخص آسیبپذیری نفرین منابع؛ دادههای تابلویی؛ منطقه منا | ||
مراجع | ||
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